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Yield is the return earned on an investment, typically expressed as an annual percentage. In forex, yield most commonly refers to the interest rate on a country’s government bonds or the central bank’s policy rate. Yield differentials between two countries are a primary driver of currency pair movements and determine swap rates. Higher-yielding currencies tend to attract capital inflows and appreciate, all else being equal.
Suppose US policy rates are 4% and Japanese rates are 0.5%. The 3.5-point differential can make USD/JPY attractive for carry trades — traders buy USD (higher yield) against JPY (lower yield) hoping to earn a swap credit. The swap actually applied is the broker’s rate, which can be lower than the differential or even negative.